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The Jets threat

This weekend will see another crunch match for Melbourne Victory against the Newcastle Jets at the Telstra Dome with just five matches to go before the end of the season and therefore fifteen points to play for.

This has not been the season I thought it would be at the start and as the season comes to an end its becoming obvious that the two problem areas so far have been lack of goals and discipline.

I think the lack of goals has led to the team having too many draws, eight so far of which three of them were goalless draws and all at home. If you were to convert just just three draws out of the eight into wins that would be an extra six points and the team would easily be in the top four on the ladder.

Like all the remaining matches the Newcastle match is a must win match and with goal difference likely to come into consideration it will be good to win by a number of goals but that seems very unlikely. In that case a win of any sort will do.

After the Newcastle match there will be just one more home match against the Wellington Phoenix and that sums up how difficult its going to be to get many points from the remaining five matches. The away matches will be against Queensland Roar, Central Coast Mariners and Sydney FC and all these teams are currently above Victory on the ladder.

If in the end Victory does not reach the finals I think it will be easy to say that overally they did not deserve to but if they do that would be a bonus.

....Victory have been very disappointing, too drunk with the success of last season. Its a small league, so a couple of wins will serve them well, and winning in this format means that you are beating the competition, and so you can move up easily. Its very difficult to pick a winner until the very last games when you play each other so many times and this season no team has been able to establish some level of dominant consistency. You wonder what Victory will produce come the start of the Asian games with such poor form.

For me the focus is now slowly turning to the Asian champions league and yes this poor form will not help especially as these matches are played in the off-season. The draw is on Monday and I hope that Victory will at least avoid Urawa Reds.

I am also thinking that if the other teams above Victory get draws and Victory wins that will help a bit, lets wait and see.

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